Iridium's CEO has contributed nothing to Trump or the Republican party, so I think that the FCC, ruling purely on the basis of technical merit, will side with SpaceX.
Iridium has told the FCC that new ground gateway stations SpaceX is building to support gigabit-speed Starlink service, which could cause interference that exceeds permissible limits at some of Iridium's own feeder link facilities.
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